Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1.554219 1.959098 2.512295 3.362008 4.716346 6.972845 11.552631
2025-10-12 1.094411 1.525875 2.224650 3.579340 6.628668 15.435484 71.433953
2025-10-19 0.845539 1.245231 1.958676 3.564456 8.269132 32.528669 32398.673177
2025-10-26 0.686913 1.045655 1.726082 3.419032 9.491033 68.110173 NaN
2025-11-02 0.599004 0.940293 1.626130 3.514307 12.046899 279.546708 NaN
2025-11-09 0.540456 0.872248 1.575575 3.713734 16.250153 529332.885661 NaN
2025-11-16 0.484301 0.795734 1.479502 3.705520 19.734922 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.432575 0.718319 1.359033 3.535213 21.569480 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.405384 0.686051 1.339852 3.744421 30.605082 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.375805 0.643766 1.283641 3.766968 38.847580 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.346020 0.596834 1.204295 3.637145 43.697752 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.322739 0.561113 1.148023 3.587895 52.694428 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.314268 0.557564 1.182620 4.055353 118.951487 NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.301121 0.541679 1.178214 4.326019 267.441241 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.283830 0.514013 1.131973 4.303316 451.230612 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.265597 0.482219 1.066984 4.111282 553.459595 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.254456 0.466056 1.048273 4.236529 2033.970407 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.246217 0.455881 1.046688 4.500374 NaN NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.234999 0.437285 1.013640 4.489464 NaN NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.222149 0.413592 0.959693 4.264075 NaN NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.216327 0.406717 0.961841 4.541153 NaN NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.208176 0.393269 0.938797 4.571148 NaN NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.198624 0.375561 0.898109 4.398795 NaN NaN NaN